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Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities and also the faults and biases of fast thinking, and the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on peoples' thoughts and choices.

 

Table of Contents

 

Introduction 3 (16)

PART I TWO SYSTEMS

 

1 The Characters Of The Story

19 (12)

2 Attention And Effort

31 (8)

3 The Lazy Controller

39 (11)

4 The Associative Machine

50 (9)

5 Cognitive Ease

59 (12)

6 Norms, Surprises, And Causes

71 (8)

7 A Machine For Jumping To Conclusions

79 (10)

8 How Judgments Happen

89 (8)

9 Answering An Easier Question

97 (12)

PART II HEURISTICS AND BIASES

 

10 The Law Of Small Numbers

109 (10)

11 Anchors

119 (10)

12 The Science Of Availability

129 (8)

13 Availability, Emotion, And Risk

137 (9)

14 Tom W'S Specialty

146 (10)

15 Linda: Less Is More

156 (10)

16 Causes Trump Statistics

166 (9)

17 Regression To The Mean

175 (10)

18 Taming Intuitive Predictions

185 (14)

PART III OVERCONFIDENCE

 

19 The Illusion Of Understanding

199 (10)

20 The Illusion Of Validity

209 (13)

21 Intuitions Vs. Formulas

222 (12)

22 Expert Intuition: When Can We Trust It?

234 (11)

23 The Outside View

245 (10)

24 The Engine Of Capitalism

255 (14)

PART IV CHOICES

 

25 Bernoulli't Errors

269 (9)

26 Prospect Theory

278 (11)

27 The Endowment Effect

289 (11)

28 Bad Events

300 (10)

29 The Fourfold Pattern

310 (12)

30 Rare Events

322 (12)

31 Risk Policies

334 (8)

32 Keeping Score

342 (11)

33 Reversals

353 (10)

34 Frames And Reality

363 (14)

PART V TWO SELVES

 

35 Two Selves

377 (9)

36 Life As A Story

386 (5)

37 Experienced Well-Being

391 (7)

38 Thinking About Life

398 (10)

CONCLUSIONS

408 (41)

Appendix A Judgment Under Uncertainty

419 (14)

Appendix B Choices, Values, And Frames

433 (16)

Notes 449 (34)

Acknowledgments 483 (2)

Index 485